Wednesday, October 3, 2012

Fraser's Favorites Week 5

Atlanta at Washington
The Atlanta Falcons are one Carolina first down and 55 seconds away from being a 3-1 football team. Instead, Matty Ice continues to prove the validity of his nickname as he drove his team 74 yards in 50 seconds to secure an undefeated start. While Matt Ryan and the Atlanta offense continued their hot start, it was the Falcons defense that struggled to contain Cam Newton. It was obvious that both John Abraham and Ray Edwards were cheating outside on the play-side read, allowing for open running lanes for Cam Newton. In week five, the Falcons face yet another read/option quarterback in rookie RGIII. RGIII’s main goal will be to dominate the time of possession in order to keep the explosive Falcons offense off the field. Despite Griffin’s heroic efforts, the Redskins defense will not get enough pressure on Matt Ryan to slow Atlanta down.
Atlanta- 37
Washington- 27

Cleveland at NY Giants
Before the season, if someone had said that the Cleveland Browns had the same record as the New Orleans Saints after four weeks that person would have been laughed at and ridiculed. Going into week five, the Cleveland Browns do have the same record as the Saints, but it is not one to boast about. The Browns are winless and will remain without a win when they lose to the New York Giants. The Giants have always been a team that has overcome adversity, and it looks as though they will have to accomplish that same task again in week five. The Giants have eight starters on the injury list including Hakeem Nicks, Kenny Phillips, and Antrel Rolle. Despite those injuries, Eli Manning will connect with his younger receivers to light up the 28th ranked passing defense.
Cleveland- 24
NY Giants- 33

Miami at Cincinnati
While there are no moral victories in football, Joe Philbin has to be proud of the way his team has played the first four weeks of the year. Few gave the Dolphins any chance at being successful this season and most considered them a four or five win team. Over the last two weeks, Miami has lost two overtime games and have proven that they will be competitive this year. They travel for the second week in a row to take on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are currently 3-1 thanks to the sophomore connection of A.J. Green and Andy Dalton. Dalton currently ranks fifth in the league in quarterback rating and is in the top ten is total passing yards. However, one major flaw in the Bengals team is their inability to stop the run. This Sunday, Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas will be key to a Dolphins upset.
Miami-  23
Cincinnati- 21

Green Bay at Indianapolis
The Indianapolis Colts are a young football team. As an organization, they decided to go through a longer rebuilding process by letting go of Peyton Manning and drafting Andrew Luck. When a rookie quarterback comes into the league they need a sense of continuity and their coach needs to nurture and guide them. Unfortunately, Luck, the Colts organization, and the NFL, learned earlier this week that Head Coach Chuck Pagano would miss the rest of the season recovering from cancer. This is news no person, family, or team wants to hear. The Colts come off their bye week with that news and now have to welcome Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to Indianapolis. Without Chuck Pagano, and most likely without Dwight Freeney, there is no way Andrew Luck will be able to keep up with Aaron Rodgers. Packers big.
Green Bay- 40
Indianapolis-20

Baltimore at Kansas City
The Baltimore Ravens are one point away from being another undefeated team after week four. Joe Flacco leads the fourth ranked passing offense to take on the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead stadium. In their most recent game against the Chargers, the Chiefs turned the ball over an incredible six times. They lead the league in a category no team wants to be in first place; turnovers. On a more positive note, the Chiefs do have the league’s number one rushing attack. That rushing attack led by Jamaal Charles will be the reason the Chiefs foster an upset at the hands of the Ravens.
Baltimore- 27
Kansas City- 28

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
The battle for Pennsylvania features two hopeful playoff contenders. The Philadelphia Eagles have amazingly won their three games by a mere four points. Their defense has improved tremendously over the last several weeks compared to last year, but Michael Vick continues to be injury and turnover prone. Their counterpart in PA, the Pittsburgh Steelers, are coming off of a bye week, and have to be fuming after their week three upset loss to the Raiders. Rashard Mendenhall will return this week hoping to improve upon a rushing attack that averages a putrid 2.7 yards per rush. Expect a healthy Mendenhall, and defense with the additions of Troy Polamalu and James Harrison, to make a difference as the Steelers knock off the Eagles in a defensive struggle.
Philadelphia- 21
Pittsburgh- 24

 

Seattle at Carolina
For 59 minutes, Cam Newton looked like the phenomenon that he was in 2011. He threw for 215 yards and two touchdowns, and rushed for 85 yards and added another touchdown on the ground. However, with one play, and in a matter of seconds, Cam Newton transformed back into the pouty, sad quarterback we saw in week three. He fumbled on a third and short opportunity that would have clinched an upset over the Falcons. Instead, the Panthers come into a week five matchup with the Seahawks with a 1-3 record. Newton’s counterpart in week five, Russell Wilson leads a passing attack that ranks dead last in the NFL with a pathetic 130 passing yards per game. Despite Newton’s poor performance at the end of last week’s game, expect him and the Panthers offense to explode at home against the Seahawks.
Seattle- 23
Carolina- 35

Chicago at Jacksonville
In the first round of this years draft, the Jaguars selected supposed game changer Justin Blackmon. Blackmon has proven to be a major distraction off the field, and has been virtually non-existent on the field. While he had six total catches Sunday against the Bengals, his longest reception on the season was 14 yards. If Blaine Gabbert has any chance of being the Jaguars franchise quarterback, he needs his franchise receiver to step up and start making plays. Until that point, Gabbert will be the focal point of the Jaguars losses. Chalk up another loss in week five as the Chicago Bears travel to Jacksonville. A defense that picked off Tony Romo five times last Monday Night will feast on the inaccuracies of Gabbert.
Chicago- 31
Jacksonville- 17

Tennessee at Minnesota
Leslie Frazier has to be the front runner for Coach of the Year. He has the Vikings, specifically sophomore quarterback Christian Ponder, playing at a much higher level than expected. Minnesota was pushed aside in all playoff talks before the season, but after week four, find themselves in the mix in the NFC North. If they aim to make the playoffs in 2012, they will have to win games like the one they have in week five against the Titans. In the Titans three losses they have been outscored 110-37. Against Tennessee’s 27th ranked rushing defense, expect Adrian “All Day” Peterson to tally 150 rushing yards.
Tennessee- 14
Minnesota- 27

Denver at New England
The rivalry between the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots disappeared when Peyton Manning signed with the Broncos. Now the rivalry has ultimately shifted from teams to the two future Hall of Famers. When Tom Brady and Peyton Manning meet, football fans truly get to watch something special; the greatest regular season quarterback of all time in Peyton Manning versus arguably the greatest post-season quarterback of all time in Tom Brady. Both quarterbacks and teams exploded in week four with dominating performances against division rivals. This game will be determined by the defense that can apply the most pressure and disturb the timing between quarterback and receiver. With Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil in Tom Brady’s face all day, the Broncos will come out of Foxborough with a win.
Denver- 31
New England- 27

 

Buffalo at San Francisco
San Francisco’s efforts were simply just dominating against the Jets last Sunday. They absolutely manhandled the Jets in the trenches, on special teams, and ran all over the Jets totaling 245 yards on the ground. Couple the 49ers abilities on the ground with a Buffalo Bills defense that allowed 247 yards to the Patriots last week and it is a recipe for disaster. Throw-in a 3000 mile trip to San Francisco, and the Bills don’t stand a chance.
Buffalo- 14
San Francisco- 30

San Diego at New Orleans
An argument can be made in most professional sports that head coaches are nothing more than just figureheads. A head coach is someone who controls a team’s discipline and motivates a team to fulfill their potential. The absence of Sean Payton from the New Orleans Saints should completely dispel that myth. It is obvious that Sean Payton had a greater impact on this team than anyone could have imagined. It is also curious how negative the impact of hiring Steve Spagnuolo has been to their defense. The Saints defense ranks last in the league in total yardage allowed and last in the league in rushing yards per game allowed. New Orleans will attempt to get their first win of the season this week when they host the San Diego Chargers. On Sunday Night Football, Drew Brees will not only break Unitas’ consecutive games with a passing touchdown record, but he will also lead the Saints to their first win of the season.
San Diego- 31
New Orleans- 38

Houston at NY Jets
Monday Night Football will host quite possibly the ugliest game of the week with two teams headed in totally opposite directions. The Houston Texans are being looked at as something special; a team that comes around once every decade that truly dominates every facet of the game. The Jets meanwhile, have a quarterback whose completion percentage is the worst in the league, two star players in Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes whom are out for the season, and a rushing defense allowing 172 yards per game. The two headed monster of Arian Foster and Ben Tate is the last duo the Jets wanted to see in week five. Just as predicted before the season, the poor play of the Jets, specifically Mark Sanchez, will have most New York fans thinking it’s Tebow Time.  This one will be over by the end of the first quarter.
Houston-35
NY Jets- 10

Arizona at St. Louis
The Arizona Cardinals defense has stifled opposing offenses enabling the Cards to improve to 9-2 in their last 11 games dating back to the end of 2011. A superb defense coupled with a blessing in disguise when John Skelton fell to injury have created a legitimate contender in Arizona. They dispelled any pretender misnomers when they defeated both the Patriots and Eagles in consecutive weeks and now look to defeat divisional foe St. Louis Rams. While only 2-2, the Rams have impressed so far thanks to rookie kicker Greg Zuerlein and a defense that ranks second in the league in sacks. If the Rams hope to knock off the Cardinals, they will have to do more than kick field goals especially with Larry Fitzgerald lining up on the opposing sideline. With the emergence of number two receiver Andre Roberts expect the Cards quick passing attack to eliminate the Rams pass rush as the Cards stay undefeated after week five.
Arizona- 26
St. Louis- 20